I just restarted my account after taking a break. The Progression chart shows Threshold Power of 249 for every ride, starting when I got a power meter in Oct. I believe when I was riding last year the progression chart started ~212 then went up to ~250 then started to drop at the end of the year.
Welcome back!. Be sure autoupdate signature is turned on in your Account Settings. Also be wary of the Decay Method and read our blog in detail before using anything but Original unless you understand what will happen.