Forgot to update this thread when I reached my first TED for this year on April 4.
I got within 5 pts of the prediction. That’s close enough for me. 
I also made a mistake on last BT attempt to verify my signature. I meant to select a Ronnestad workout as my “target event” which would have been the first time riding that type of workout. When I realized my mistake (Let the Sparks Fly) I didn’t go all out as planned so only got a bronze BT with minor boost in TP. I had more left in the tank at the BT juncture but not enough for a do over. 