FTP on the Progressions page doesn't match the FTP on the Today page

Perhaps this is by design, but I can’t think of a logical reason why or how I’d interpret two different FTP numbers. You’ll see the Today page has me at 227W versus 236W on the chart on progressions. If it matters, I am currently on a Forecast AI training plan. Any insights?

Anyone else able to duplicate the reported mismatch? I can’t.
Steps –

  1. View Today page TP value (also shown at top of Progression page).
  2. Select Progression tab.
  3. Set to Past 2 Weeks, enable Hide Future Activities, chart type to Fitness Signature.
  4. Turn off all keys except Threshold Power.

Does TP match the graph line Y-axis value?
Pop-up value should also match when you hover over or tap on the Today line.

Unrelated but are your cycling hours restricted? (currently less than 1-1/2 stars; 35 TL?)
Last BT over a year ago? :thinking:

It looks like it resolved this morning when I did another workout. The today page jumped up to the correct FTP #. Maybe it was a timing thing. Who knows, but not a big deal. Was more just curious.

Ha, I’m coming off the couch after a forced ~10 month break from the bike. I’ve done this ramp once or twice in the past so I have a good sense of how to safely push it about as aggressively as my body will tolerate. First ride was at the end of March / beginning of April but it shouldn’t be too long before I’m back to a normal TL. I could probably use a good effort to failure on the bike to confirm my fitness signature but it feels really close to correct other than my Pmax / Peak Power. Jumped straight into structured training without testing since I’ve told myself this year I just want to get back to accumulating as many hours as possible to get back as much of what I lost over the summer before taking it too seriously again.

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Annnnd, it’s broken again. Shaving 10pts off my FTP on the Today page…

Apparently it is some weird aberration I assume due to the timing. Maybe the “Today” page takes the FTP at a certain hour of the day and for some reason the model was showing my FTP pop up for a period of time each day but not at the exact time the “Today” page calculates the FTP. No idea why the model would show an ~+5% increase in FTP for basically 24hrs only to revert back - all while I’m doing nothing other than the structured training prescribed by Forecast AI.

Does the variance show up on the Activities Table view?
What is Decay Method set to?

It does, see attached image. Decay is set to Optimal…